Objective To study the predictive value of serum macrophage M1/M2 markers for the risk of cardiac lesions in obese children. Methods A total of 60 obese children (mild-to-moderate obesity, n=32; severe obesity, n=28) and 50 healthy controls who visited the Second Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University from June 2024 to December 2024 were included. The baseline characteristics and the levels of laboratory indicators, echocardiographic parameters, and macrophage markers (MCP-1, Arg-1, CD206, and CD86) were compared among the three groups. The correlation between macrophage marker levels and echocardiographic parameters and the influencing factors of cardiac lesions in obese children were analyzed. The receiver operating characteristic curve analysis was used to evaluate the predictive performance of each influencing factor for cardiac lesions in obese children. Results Multiple echocardiographic parameters differed significantly among the mild-to-moderate obesity, severe obesity, and control groups (P<0.01). Significant differences were also observed in MCP-1 and Arg-1 levels, CD206 positivity rate, and the CD86/CD206 ratio among the three groups (P<0.05). In obese children, MCP-1 and Arg-1 levels, as well as CD86 and CD206 positivity rates, were correlated with echocardiographic parameters (P<0.05). Univariate logistic regression identified MCP-1, Arg-1, the CD86/CD206 ratio, and the CD206 positivity rate as factors associated with cardiac lesions (P<0.05). The combined prediction model based on these markers yielded an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.887 (P<0.01). Conclusions Combined measurement of macrophage markers can predict the risk of early cardiac lesions in obese children.